Luck
My colleague found this: type in "failure" (without quotes) in google and click on "I’m feeling lucky". Basically clicking on "I’m feeling lucky" just automatically takes you to the first web page returned for your query. Anyway, the return is a bit hilarious. Wonder if it’s a bug or pure "luck"…
I punctured my bicycle tyre after two days cycling to work last week, just two days. And I remember very well that when I bought the bike I was told that the tyres are kevlar tyres. In case you don’t know what kevlar is: Kevlar, also known as Twaron and poly-paraphenylene terephthalamide, is a synthetic fibre that is five times stronger than steel, weight for weight (according to the excellent wikipedia on Kevlar).
What’s the chance, my bike, equipped with kevlar tyres, punctured in 2 days, by a tiny stone. But that was what happened, "how bad luck can I get?". To think about it, is it really that small a chance?
I’m pretty sure that no one put that little sharp stone on the cycle path to puncture anyone’s tyre. I mean, come on, if someone did do that, he must be a genius, as he certainly had pulled that one off 
But when the condition is right, something amazing can really happen. Allow me to use this cake baking explaination. Flour, sugar, eggs etc each in itself is nothing special (well compared to cake). By simply mixing them together, you get something even less spectacular :). But with the right mix, the right temperature and the right amount of baking time, you will almost certainly get a cake.
I don’t mean to sound like I rode myself to that stone to puncture my tyre. But surely the fact that I cycled, on that cycle path, created myself partial condition to trouble. So becoming a "lottery winner" is probably just a matter of time. Or is it? If nobody has any notion of a "tyre puncture event", will I know this can even happen? I don’t think so.
